I'm all over Arianna's Gold here and I don't care that she's been placed three times at this track and distance without winning. That form reads beautifully when you dig into it. She's run second at this trip four times from four attempts, beaten 0.06 lengths, 0.25 lengths, 1.75 lengths and another placing. The consistency is outstanding.

Sigrid Carr has this mare firing, and Jabez Johnstone A2's 2kg claim brings her right into it at 56.5kg. Last start she went down by less than two lengths to In Your Dreams on a Good track, and before that ran 4.48 lengths fourth when short in the market. The Good surface didn't suit, simple as that. Back on Soft today where she's placed twice from four goes, she maps perfectly from barrier four.

Unfiltered is the danger on debut form. Ran second at this track over 1100m beaten two lengths at huge odds, and John Blacker wouldn't be stepping up to 1200m if he didn't think the horse could run it out. But I've got concerns about barrier three in a race with genuine speed, and Lauren Burke's 3kg claim only gets him to 58kg.

Monclere has had 20 starts for zero wins but keeps knocking on the door. Third last time over 1420m at this track, beaten 3.5 lengths. The form's honest without being brilliant. Windara Wolf is first-up after a week between runs, which is basically no break at all. Ran second at this track over 1220m last time, and that's not bad form, but I question whether he's forward enough.

The speed map shows Monclere and Unfiltered likely to lead, which should create a genuine tempo. That suits Arianna's Gold perfectly, sitting midfield and running over the top of them. I'm backing her with confidence.

This is a tricky 1600m maiden with a moderate tempo, but Veins Within Rock brings Victorian form that's a class above. Matthew Brown's gelding ran second here last start over 1400m, beaten less than half a length, and that was first-up at this track. The run before that he was fourth at Seymour over 1429m in Maiden company, beaten six lengths, which doesn't read flash until you see he ran third at Wangaratta over 1590m beaten 4.75 lengths earlier in the prep.

The 1600m trip is right in his wheelhouse. He's placed at 1590m and 1600m previously, and Jett Stanley knows this track like the back of his hand. Barrier two is a beauty, and while he's only had one Soft track run for no placing, he's got blinkers back on which worked when he won fresh at Kyneton.

Joejoe is the testing type. Jessie Bazan's three-year-old ran second at Hobart over 1430m two starts back, beaten only 0.35 lengths, then went back there and ran tenth over 1400m last start. That's a query. First-up he ran fourth at Hobart over 1200m in Maiden grade, so the step to 1600m is a genuine question mark. But David Pires sticks, which tells you something.

Team Heist brings Ballarat form and has been placed at this trip before. Second here last start over 1420m beaten 4.25 lengths, which is solid without setting the world on fire. She's a closer in a race with limited speed, which is a concern. Called Through is the testing case as top analytical pick. He ran second at Hobart over 1600m in Class 1 grade last time, beaten half a length, which is excellent form. But he's dropping back to Maiden grade, which suggests Alana Fulton knows he's vulnerable.

Alpine Whiskey has been competitive without threatening to win. Fifth here last start over 1220m, sixth at Hobart over 1430m before that. The 1600m is an unknown. A Queens Buzz has been thereabouts in Maidens without finding the line, while Gee Gees Brother won at Longford over 1400m in a two-horse race, which tells you nothing.

I'm leaning to Veins Within Rock for class, but I'm not mortgage confident. Joejoe and Team Heist are both genuine chances if the tempo suits.

Punters, this is where Adam Trinder and Erica Byrne Burke combine for the first time today, and I reckon Khaleesi's Dream is the goods. This three-year-old filly ran third on debut here over 1200m beaten 2.25 lengths at single-figure odds, and the form around that race is rock solid. She's had two trial placings at Longford in good company, and Trinder doesn't bring them to town unless they're ready.

Barrier four is perfect in a race with genuine tempo. Bassein and Symphony Queen should ensure honest speed, which lets this filly settle midfield and run over the top. The 1200m on Soft is ideal for a daughter of Ghaiyyath, and Burke's riding with tremendous confidence this prep.

Walking Street is the testing danger. Stephen Shaw's gelding ran fifth here last start over 1200m on Good, beaten 3.75 lengths when short in the market. Before that he won at Hobart over 800m, but that was in a five-horse race with no class restriction. The step from 800m to 1200m is significant, and I'm not convinced he runs it out strongly enough.

Mr Tod is first-up with blinkers on for the first time. Jessie Bazan has him ready, evidenced by solid trial form, but zero race starts is a massive query even at longer odds in the market. Dennyson ran fourth here last start over 1200m beaten 2.5 lengths, which is honest form, but he's had eight starts for no wins and keeps finding one too good.

Lucky Country is another Bazan runner stepping up from 800m trials. Won at Devonport Synthetic over 800m last time out, but that's a different proposition to 1200m on a Soft Launceston track. Dizz Boogie Time won at Longford over 800m then ran sixth here over 1100m, beaten 4.15 lengths. Not convinced the 1200m suits.

Conscious Bias ran ninth here last start, beaten 5.77 lengths, and gets winkers for the first time. That's a gear change that suggests Barry Baker is searching for improvement. Symphony Queen has had three trials for no race starts, all at 800m. The 1200m first-up is a big ask.

I'm confident Khaleesi's Dream has the class and the map to win this. Burke will have her in the perfect spot, and when the tempo is genuine like this should be, she'll be running over them late.

Rushonova won her maiden here over 1100m last start and now steps up to 1200m in Class 1 grade. That's a big jump, but I reckon Adam Trinder's filly is up to it. She's had three starts for a win, a second and a third, all at this track, and the way she bolted in last time suggests there's plenty of improvement left. Erica Byrne Burke sticks, and the blinkers stay on.

The concern is the slow tempo in this race. There's no clear leader, which means it could turn into a sprint home, and that doesn't always suit horses coming from off the pace. But Rushonova has shown enough gate speed to be in touch, and if Burke can get her into a forward position from barrier ten, she's a genuine winning chance.

Zambezi Blonde is the testing danger. John Keys' three-year-old ran second here last start over 1200m in a No Class Restriction race, beaten 0.75 lengths by Swift Force. Before that he was second at Hobart over 1100m in Class 1 grade, beaten 0.75 lengths again. The consistency is there, and Jabez Johnstone A2's 2kg claim gets him to 59kg, which is competitive.

Geegees Downpour ran second here last start over 1220m in Class 1, beaten 2.5 lengths. That's solid form, and he's placed at this track and distance before. Stuart Gandy has him fit, and barrier one is a beauty. The 55.5kg weight is a help, and Jett Stanley is riding in excellent form.

Royal Hill is first-up after a synthetic trial win. He's won first-up before, but the Victorian form doesn't translate directly to Tasmanian racing. The nose roll goes on for the first time, which is a query. Redair is first-up with blinkers on for the first time after a 46-day break. She won here over 1200m two starts back, but then ran eighth at Hobart over the same trip last time. The gear change is interesting.

I'm leaning to Rushonova for class and upside, but Zambezi Blonde is the testing danger if the tempo doesn't suit the favourite.

Just Cruisin' is the class runner in this Class 4 over 1400m, and I reckon he wins. Kelvin Hamilton's gelding has won twice at this track over this distance, and ran second here over 1400m beaten only 0.3 lengths in his last Launceston start. The form is rock solid, and he's dropping back from Listed grade where he ran fourth and fifth in his last two starts.

The slow tempo is a concern for a horse that settles back, but Jett Stanley knows this bloke inside out and will have him in the right spot. Barrier two is ideal, and the 59kg weight is manageable for a horse of this class. He's won four from eleven with three placings, and the consistency speaks for itself.

Navarre River is the testing danger. Imogen Miller's gelding ran second here last start over 1400m in Class 4, beaten half a length by Agnete. Before that he won at Hobart over 1400m in Class 2, and the form line through that race is excellent. Jabez Johnstone A2's 2kg claim gets him to 57kg, and barrier five is workable.

Sister Royal brings fresh form after a 24-day break. Won at Hobart over 800m last time in No Class Restriction grade, which doesn't tell you much, but before that she won here over 1600m in Class 4 by the barest margin. The 1400m should suit, and Stuart Gandy has her ready. Blinkers stay on, and Erica Byrne Burke takes the ride.

Fiorente De Legend ran third at Hobart last start over 1600m in Class 4, beaten 4.4 lengths. The form is honest, and she's placed at this distance plenty of times. Valiant Khan ran fourth here last start, beaten three lengths, but he's been frustratingly consistent without winning enough. Native Clan is first-up after a 25-day break and dropping back from Class 2. The form in Queensland doesn't translate directly.

I'm confident Just Cruisin' has the class to win this, even with the slow tempo. If Navarre River brings his best, he'll make the favourite work for it.

Who's In Dev won here last start over 1400m and now steps up to Class 1 grade. That's exactly the right progression for a three-year-old filly who's won twice from five starts. Glenn Stevenson has her flying, and Codi Jordan knows exactly what she's got underneath her. The form line is excellent: won here over 1400m, second at this track over 1220m before that, and she's placed at this distance twice.

The slow tempo is a query for a horse that settles back, but she's shown enough tactical speed to be in touch, and the 1400m trip gives her time to wind up. Barrier nine is a touch awkward, but Jordan will get her across and into a forward position. The 57.5kg weight is competitive, and she's a mare on the up.

Roundle Park is the testing danger. Adam Trinder's three-year-old ran sixth here last start over 1200m, beaten 3.2 lengths, which doesn't read flash. But before that he ran third at Hobart over 1100m beaten two lengths, and second at Launceston over 1200m beaten half a length. The form is there, and the step to 1400m should suit. Christopher Pang's 3kg claim gets him to 58.5kg, and barrier four is perfect.

Vixen's Moon is fresh after a nine-day break, which is basically no break at all. Ran third at Devonport Synthetic over 1350m last time in a three-horse race, which tells you nothing. Before that she ran sixth here over 1400m, beaten 3.46 lengths. The form is patchy, and I'm not convinced she's forward enough first-up.

Accusaient ran third here last start over 1200m, beaten 1.6 lengths, which is solid form. Before that she won at Hobart over 1100m in Maiden grade, so she's stepping up in class and distance. The blinkers stay on, and John Keys has her ready. Seditious Award won at Hobart last start over 1430m in Maiden grade and now steps up to Class 1. That's a big jump, and I'm not convinced she's ready for this class yet.

The Pirate Queen ran second here last start over 1400m, beaten a quarter of a length. That's excellent form, and she's won at this track before. Lady Fern ran third here last start over 1220m, beaten 4.5 lengths, which is honest without being brilliant. Quafftide ran fourth here last start beaten 1.2 lengths, which is competitive form, and he's won at 1400m before.

I'm backing Who's In Dev with confidence. She's the form horse, and Stevenson has her peaking at the right time.

Bloody hell, look at this form. In The Ocean has won six from twelve starts at this track over 1100m. Six wins! That's not form, punters, that's dominance. Sarah Cotton's gelding ran second here last start over 1200m, beaten 1.25 lengths, and before that he ran fourth here over 1200m when longer odds in the market. Drop him back to 1100m where he's a track specialist, and I reckon he wins.

Jabez Johnstone A2's 2kg claim gets him to 54.5kg, which is a beautiful weight. Barrier two is ideal, and the genuine tempo should suit a horse with his tactical speed. He can sit midfield and run over the top of them, or he can go forward if needed. The versatility is a weapon.

Thespian Waters is fresh after a 48-day break and brings strong form at this track and distance. He's won three from five at this trip here, which is outstanding. But he's had two runs this prep for a sixth and a sixth, both over longer trips, and I question whether he's forward enough fresh. The visor goes on, blinkers and cross-over nose band come off, which is a significant gear change.

Perola is dropping back from Group 3 grade where she ran fourth last start. Before that she ran sixth at Hobart, beaten 6.35 lengths, which isn't flash. She's placed at this distance before, but the form is patchy. Cherokee Dancer is fresh after a 30-day break and brings strong form at this track and distance. She's won three from ten here over 1100m, and Adam Trinder has her ready. Blinkers stay on, and Erica Byrne Burke takes the ride. This is a genuine chance.

Golden Meadow has won two on the trot, both over longer trips. Last start she won here over 1220m, before that she won here over 1200m. Dropping back to 1100m is a query, but Stuart Gandy obviously thinks she's quick enough. Bold Instinct ran fourth here last start over 1200m, beaten 2.77 lengths, which is honest form. Blinkers stay on, and he's won at this distance before.

Adachi ran third at Devonport Synthetic last start in a three-horse race, which tells you nothing. Before that he ran second here over 1420m, beaten half a length. The form is there, but the drop to 1100m is a query.

I'm all over In The Ocean. The track record speaks for itself, and when a horse has that sort of dominance at a specific track and distance, you back them with confidence. Cherokee Dancer is the testing danger if she brings her best fresh.

Distrustful Award is the benchmark for 2400m racing in Tasmania, and I reckon he wins this. Peter Luttrell's gelding ran third here last start over 2400m, beaten just over a length, and before that he ran third at Hobart over 2400m beaten 0.22 lengths. The consistency at this trip is outstanding, and while he's carrying 60kg, he's proven he can handle weight over a staying trip.

The slow tempo is a concern for a horse that settles back, but Chloe Wells knows this bloke inside out and will have him in the right spot. Barrier thirteen is awkward, but there's plenty of time over 2400m to find a position. He's dropping back from Group 3 grade, which is a class drop, and the form is rock solid.

Vino Novello won last start here over 2100m and now steps up to 2400m for the first time. That's a big jump, but John Blacker wouldn't be attempting it if he didn't think the horse could run it out. He's won four from nine with a placing, and the form is excellent. Barrier three is ideal, and Erica Byrne Burke takes the ride. This is a genuine chance.

Night Invader ran second here last start over 1620m, beaten half a length. Before that he ran fifth over 2150m, beaten 4.1 lengths, which is the form line to follow. The step to 2400m is a query, but Barry Campbell has him ready. He's won four from nine at this track, and barrier seven is workable.

Fast Thinker is the testing danger. Kelvin Hamilton's nine-year-old won over 2150m here two starts back, then ran eleventh over 2400m here last start. That's a query. The form is patchy, and while he's dropping back from Group 3 grade, I'm not convinced he's forward enough to win this.

General Assembly ran fifteenth here last start over 2400m, beaten 20 lengths. That's terrible form. Golden Prophet ran tenth here last start over 2400m, beaten less than four lengths, which is honest. The winkers go on, blinkers come off, which is a gear change worth noting. Moorlands Miss ran third last start over 2100m, beaten 2.25 lengths, and the step to 2400m should suit.

Iffycould ran fourth last start over 2100m, beaten 2.6 lengths, which is solid form. Miles 'N' Miles ran eighth over 2100m last start, beaten 4.81 lengths. Lindrum is backing up after three days, which is a massive query. Speed Rock ran sixth last start over 2100m, beaten less than four lengths.

I'm backing Distrustful Award for class and consistency at this trip. Vino Novello is the testing danger if the 2400m suits, but I reckon the proven stayer gets the job done.