Mathematician comes into this with a perfect record and I think he's clearly the class runner here. The Will Clarken three year old won over this exact track and distance last start, and while that was only a Benchmark 64, he did it in the manner of a horse with more to offer. He's unbeaten in two competitive starts and the form from that last win looks solid enough, even if we haven't seen those he beat come out and frank it spectacularly. Jamie Melham sticks, and from a 16 day break I'd be surprised if anything could beat this.

Wiltshire Square brings Victorian form to the mix and that's worth respecting. She's placed at Flemington at Benchmark 74 level, which is stronger than this grade, but she's had nearly a month between runs and I'm not convinced the step up to this track suits. Her best form has been at 1000m and while she's placed at 1200m, I think she's a question mark over whether the class edge is enough to overcome what looks a less than ideal setup.

Shocap is first up after 135 days and while Phillip Stokes knows how to have them ready fresh, I think the layoff is a concern. She won at Moonee Valley over 1200m but was then beaten more than four lengths in Listed company. Coming back here after that spell, I'm not sweet on her chances against a horse like Mathematician who's race fit and in form.

Bardigrub won her maiden at the Parks last start but this looks a significant step up. She's placed three times from five starts at 1050m which suggests she handles the trip, but I think the class jump from maiden grade to this is too much too soon. More Than Hope was third behind Mathematician last start, beaten two and a half lengths, and I can't see him turning that form around on the same track.

The pace looks slow with no obvious leaders, which could actually suit a horse like Mathematician who has tactical speed and can position forward. I think he rolls forward under Melham, controls the tempo, and kicks clear. The favourite looks rock solid to me and I'd be genuinely shocked if he didn't win this.

Purfect Line brings the strongest form credentials here with that Kingscote win and solid efforts at this track, but I'm not convinced she's the good thing the market might suggest. She's won one from ten at 1100m, which tells me this isn't her absolute pet distance, and while she rarely runs a bad race, I think there are legitimate threats here.

Alaa Plenty is the one that interests me most. He won at Werribee in a Benchmark 56 last start and before that was second at Sale in a Benchmark 62. The key here is he's two from three second up, which is a significant pattern. Peter Moody and Katherine Coleman have him placed perfectly here and I think the fresh legs second up could be the edge. The claim from Emily Pozman gets him down to 58.5kg which looks a gift.

Power Of Time won his maiden at Balaklava last start but this is a steep rise in grade. He's one from one at 1100m which is positive, but I think the opposition here is too strong. Wally West is a ten year old with 31 starts and just two wins. He won at the Parks at Class 1 level but has been disappointing since. I couldn't be less interested.

Flirt has won two from five and both wins came at 1100m, which is a tick. She won at Clare at Class 1 level last start and gets in well at the weights with the claim. I think she's a genuine chance but I'd want to see her handle this slightly better grade before getting too excited. Stolen Kiss is first up after 79 days and while Phillip Stokes has a strong strike rate with the stable, she's shown very little in 16 starts beyond one win in soft going.

The pace looks slow again with no obvious speed, which means this could turn into a sprint from the 400m. I think horses with tactical speed and a finishing kick are favoured, which brings Alaa Plenty right into calculations. Purfect Line is the form horse but I think she's vulnerable here, and at shorter odds I'm not convinced she represents value. This looks competitive and I think the second up pattern for Alaa Plenty is worth following.

Zarkana maps perfectly from barrier one with Kayla Crowther and I think she's a serious player here. She's one from three at 1600m with strong form at this track, including five wins from 12 starts overall at Morphettville. Her last start eighth behind Wichitall was disappointing, beaten four lengths, but before that she was sixth in better grade at Benchmark 72 level. I think the drop back to this grade suits and the inside gate is a massive advantage.

Brown Nose Day Gal is the favourite and it's easy to see why. She's been placed in her last two starts at Morphettville over 1522m and 1550m, both times at higher grades than this. She won twice in succession at Murray Bridge and Oakbank before stepping up, and I think the form is rock solid. The concern is she's eight years old and has only won three from eleven, which suggests she's more reliable as a placegetter than a winner. At short odds, I think she's vulnerable.

Flaming Eyes is the likely leader according to the speed map and she's won two from six at 1600m. Her last start third over 1800m at Morphettville, beaten less than a length, was excellent form and before that she was second over 1600m at this track. I think she's a genuine chance if she can control the tempo, but with only one natural leader in the race, she might get an easy time in front which could set her up perfectly.

Bolted In won at Balaklava last start and has one from five at 1600m. He's been competitive without winning enough, and while the form is solid, I think he's a place chance at best. Somewhere Soon has won two from two at Morphettville and is the favourite for good reason. She won over 1800m here last start and before that won at Strathalbyn over 1600m. The step up to 1600m looks ideal, but I'm not convinced she's tested at this level yet.

Savsonic is second up and has won twice at 2000m, which suggests she might be looking for further than this. Her second last start at the Parks over 1966m, beaten less than half a length, was excellent but I think 1600m might be on the sharp side. King Of Wessex was fourth behind Somewhere Soon last start, beaten less than a length, which gives him claims but I think he's just below the best here.

With Flaming Eyes likely to lead, the question is whether the pace will be genuine enough. I think it will be moderate at best, which could favour on pace runners. Zarkana from the inside gate with Crowther looks the tactical play, while Brown Nose Day Gal has the strongest form but might be vulnerable at short odds. I think Zarkana represents better value and I'd be surprised if she didn't run well.

Miss Slipstream is the favourite first up after 33 days and I think she's got strong claims. She won her maiden at Murray Bridge last start and before that was placed twice, including a second at Murray Bridge over 1000m. She's one from two at 1050m which is a positive, and Jeff Searle has her primed for this. The concern is she's never won beyond maiden grade and this is a significant step up in class.

Pantoja brings Victorian form and won his maiden at Mornington by more than three lengths. He's been competitive since in Benchmark grade without winning, and his last start sixth at Morphettville over 1050m, beaten less than two lengths, suggests he's going the right way. I think the 30 day break is ideal and Luke Cartwright's claim gets him down to a handy weight. This is a genuine chance.

Babayka is a seven year old with 56 starts and six wins, which tells you everything you need to know about his consistency. He's four from 46 at 1050m which is a poor strike rate, but his last start fourth at the Parks in a Benchmark 64, beaten two and a half lengths, was solid enough. I think he's a place chance but I couldn't back him with any confidence.

My Ruby is the one that interests me at longer odds. She's an eight year old mare who's two from seven first up, and she was second at Morphettville over 1050m earlier this preparation, beaten just over a length. She's five from 38 at 1050m which is a reasonable strike rate, and Wayne Francis and Glen Kent know how to place her. At longer odds, I think she's worth considering.

Nosie By Nature is first up after 87 days with significant gear changes including blinkers off and bar plates on for the first time. That's a concern and suggests they're still trying to find the key. Runaway Belle is second up and has been placed at this track before, but I think she's just below this grade. Cool The Jets is first up after 113 days which is a significant break, and while he's won at this track before, I think the layoff is too much to overcome.

The pace looks slow with no obvious leaders, which means this could turn into a sprint from the 400m. I think horses with tactical speed are favoured, which brings Miss Slipstream and My Ruby into calculations. The favourite looks vulnerable to me at short odds, and I think there's value in taking her on with something at longer odds. My Ruby at double figure odds represents the value play here, and I'd be surprised if she didn't run well fresh.

Somewhere Soon has won two from two at Morphettville and I think she's clearly the class runner here. She won over 1800m at this track last start and before that won at Strathalbyn over 1600m. The step up to 2000m is the question, but given she's by Impending out of a Flying Spur mare, I think the pedigree suggests she'll handle it. Jason Holder takes the ride from barrier six and I think she maps to get a lovely run just off the speed.

Thinkingnintynine is first up after 33 days and has one from four at 2000m. He was second at Murray Bridge over 2000m last start, beaten less than two lengths, which is solid form. He's drawn the inside gate which is ideal, and Caitlin Tootell's claim gets him down to 56kg. I think he's a genuine chance but I'm not convinced he's got the class to trouble Somewhere Soon.

Full Of Courage won at Murray Bridge over 2000m earlier this preparation and has one from three at the distance. His last start 14th at Morphettville over 2600m was poor, beaten more than six lengths, but that was probably too far for him. I think back to 2000m suits but I'm not convinced the form is strong enough. Back Me Up Benny won at Morphettville over 2000m earlier this preparation but has been disappointing since, including a fifth last start at the Parks over 2250m.

Classy Claret has won two from three at 2000m which is an excellent record. He won at Murray Bridge last start and before that was third at the Parks, beaten just over a length. I think he's a genuine chance but the lack of Morphettville experience is a concern. Just A Brother was second at Port Lincoln last start, beaten a short head, and won at Strathalbyn before that. He's one from two at 2000m which is positive, but I think the opposition here is too strong.

Morthan Efficient was third at Wangaratta last start over 2000m, beaten just over three lengths, which is solid form. He's second up which is ideal given his record, but I think the class jump here is significant. Savsonic was second at the Parks last start over 1966m, beaten less than half a length, which is excellent form. She's two from six at 2000m and I think she's a genuine chance, but the second up record of none from four is a concern.

The pace looks slow with no obvious leaders, which means this could turn into a staying test rather than a tactical battle. I think horses with proven stamina are favoured, which brings Somewhere Soon right into calculations. She's the class runner and I think the step up to 2000m will suit. Thinkingnintynine from the inside gate represents value at longer odds, but I think Somewhere Soon has them all in trouble here.

Mic Drop is the horse I want to be with here and I think she's got a significant class edge. She's three from three at Morphettville with three from four at 1100m overall, and her last start second at Oakbank, beaten less than a length, was against some of these. Before that she won at Morphettville in Benchmark 78 grade, which is the strongest form on offer here. She carries just 54kg from the inside gate with Lachlan Neindorf, and I think the addition of a tongue tie first time suggests Will Clarken has found an extra edge. I'd be genuinely surprised if she didn't win this.

Celerity comes from the Ciaron Maher stable and brings strong Victorian form. She was second at Caulfield Heath last start, beaten less than half a length, and before that was second at Flemington, beaten a length. She won at Flemington over 1000m which suggests she's got the class, but I'm not convinced she's tested at this level yet. The concern is she's never raced at Morphettville and I think that track experience edge goes to Mic Drop.

Prairie Flower won at Oakbank last start and has won five from 19 at Morphettville, which is a strong track record. She's four from 19 at 1100m which is a reasonable strike rate, but I think her best form is at shorter trips. Her last start win at Oakbank was in Benchmark 70+ grade which is solid, but I think the step up to this level against Mic Drop is too much.

Thunder Shoc was seventh at Oakbank last start, beaten more than six lengths, which is disappointing form. Before that she was second at Morphettville over 1200m, beaten just over a length behind Power Beau, which is better form. She's won at this track before but I think she's just below the best here. Mt Niseko was second at Morphettville last start over 1050m, beaten a short head, which is excellent form. He's two from seven at 1100m and I think he's a genuine place chance, but I'm not convinced he's got the class to trouble Mic Drop.

Sav On Ice was third at Oakbank last start, beaten less than a length, which is solid form. He's won at this track before but I think the step up to this grade is significant. Power Beau won at Morphettville last start over 1200m which is strong form, but I'm not convinced he's tested at this level over 1100m. Lingani has won four from nine at 1100m which is an excellent strike rate, but her recent form suggests she's not quite at her best.

The pace looks slow with no obvious leaders, which means this could turn into a sprint from the 400m. I think horses with tactical speed and a finishing kick are favoured, which is exactly what Mic Drop possesses. She's the class runner with the best track record and I think she wins this comfortably. Celerity is the obvious danger but I think the Morphettville experience edge is crucial here. Mic Drop represents the standout analytical case and I'd be shocked if she didn't salute.

Berkeley Square won at Flemington last start over 2500m and I think he brings the strongest recent form to this race. He's ten from 39 overall with solid form at staying distances, but the concern is he's never raced at Morphettville and he's never tackled 3200m. The step up from 2500m to 3200m is significant, and while his pedigree suggests he should handle it, I think it's a question mark. The addition of a Norton Bit and Synthetic Hoof Filler for the first time is interesting and suggests Dan O'Sullivan is trying to find an edge.

Hurry Curry won at Sandown Hillside last start over 2400m in soft going and I think she's a genuine chance. She's three from 16 overall and while that's not a spectacular strike rate, her form at staying distances has been solid. The concern is she's never tackled 3200m and I'm not convinced she's got the stamina for this trip. Highland Bling was second at Morphettville last start over 2600m, beaten a short head, which is excellent form. He's placed at this track before and I think the step up to 3200m will suit given his pedigree.

Newfoundland is the one that interests me most at longer odds. He's a Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott trained gelding who won at Warwick Farm over 2400m last start, and before that he was ninth at Flemington over 2500m. He's placed at this track before and I think the wide gate is the only concern. Tim Clark takes the ride which is a significant booking, and I think the class edge from that stable is crucial. He's placed from two starts at 3200m which suggests he handles the distance, and I think at longer odds he represents genuine value.

Eventually won at Morphettville last start over 2600m at big odds and I think that form is worth respecting. She's eight from 34 overall with solid form at this track, but I'm not convinced she's got the class to trouble these. Komachi was eighth at Morphettville last start over 2600m which is disappointing, but before that he won at this track over 2006m. I think the step up to 3200m is a query.

Crimson Vine was third at Morphettville last start over 2600m, beaten less than a length, which is solid form. She won at Murray Bridge over 2000m earlier this preparation and I think the step up to 3200m will suit. Samuel Langhorne was sixth at Morphettville last start over 2600m, beaten two and a half lengths, which is reasonable form. He's placed in four from 24 starts which suggests he's more reliable as a placegetter.

Chance Taken is the likely leader according to the speed map and I think that's crucial in a race like this. With only one natural leader, he could get an easy time in front which sets up perfectly for a staying test. The question is whether he's got the class to hold them off. I think Berkeley Square has the strongest form but the wide gate and step up to 3200m are concerns. Newfoundland represents the value play at longer odds with the Waterhouse and Bott factor crucial. I think this is a tactical battle and horses that can position close to the speed will be favoured. Newfoundland and Highland Bling look the value plays against the favourite.

Dirty Old Town has won her last two starts at Morphettville including one over this exact track and distance, and I think she's clearly the horse to beat. She won at the Parks last start over 1400m in soft going and before that won at this track over 1600m in good going. She's three from six overall with form that suggests she's improving with every run. Jason Holder takes the ride from the inside gate and I think she maps perfectly to get a lovely run just off the speed. At short odds she looks rock solid to me.

Uptown Monk won at Oakbank last start and before that won his maiden at Strathalbyn. He's two from two overall which is an excellent record, but I think the step up to this grade is significant. He's never tackled 1600m and while his pedigree suggests he should handle it, I think it's a query. Will Clarken has him placed perfectly but I'm not convinced he's got the class to trouble Dirty Old Town.

Cannae won his maiden at Caulfield Heath last start over 1500m which is solid form. He's one from two overall and while that's a limited sample size, the form looks strong enough. The concern is he's never raced at Morphettville and I think that track experience edge goes to Dirty Old Town. Bootlegger was third at the Parks last start over 1400m, beaten less than a length behind Dirty Old Town, which gives him claims but I think he's just below the best here.

Shoma brings New Zealand form and was second at Sandown Hillside last start over 1300m. He's placed twice from 11 starts which suggests he's more reliable as a placegetter than a winner. I think the step up to 1600m at Morphettville is a significant query. Mostly For Show was ninth at Oakbank last start which is disappointing form, but before that he was fourth at the Parks over 1400m behind Dirty Old Town. I think he's just below this grade.

Crespiano and Starfleet Command look the likely leaders according to the speed map, which should set up a moderate pace. I think horses that can position just off the speed with a finishing kick are favoured, which is exactly where Dirty Old Town will be. She's the form horse with the best track record and I think she completes the hat trick here. Uptown Monk is the obvious danger but I think the class edge goes to Dirty Old Town. At short odds she represents the standout analytical case.